South Korea

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

KOSPI Correction Deepens as Foreign Investors Exit on AI Bubble Fears
Nov. 10, 2025 | Financial System

South Korea’s KOSPI index tumbled below 4,000 in early November as investors reacted to a sharp market correction and concerns over an unfolding AI-related bubble.

**On November 7, the KOSPI closed at 3,953.76, down 1.81% from the previous session and off 6.35% from its November 3 peak of 4,221.87.**
Over the first week of the month, the index declined 3.7%, while the KOSDAQ fell 2.38% to 876.81.

**Market participants point to mounting anxiety over an AI-driven bubble, lingering overvaluation after the recent rally, delayed US Federal Reserve rate cuts and the looming risk of a US government shutdown.**
Additional pressure came as the won–dollar exchange rate approached 1,450 and regulatory complications disrupted US airport operations. On November 5, the KOSPI plunged 2.8%, prompting a temporary suspension of program sell orders.

**From November 3 to 7, foreign investors recorded a weekly net sell-off of 7.264 trillion won in the KOSPI market, surpassing the previous high of 7.0454 trillion won set in August 2021.**
Daily net selling peaked at 2.228 trillion won on November 4, marking the largest single-day outflow since August 2021. Investors focused their disposals on major semiconductor names, unloading 3.715 trillion won of SK Hynix and 1.503 trillion won of Samsung Electronics, which together accounted for 72% of total net foreign sales. In contrast, foreigners concentrated net purchases on LG CNS, SK Square, LG Innotek, Isu Petasys and HYBE.

**Looking ahead, institutional investors are expected to dominate market activity next year as pension fund stock sales remain constrained, assets under management grow and retail ETF demand rises.**
By early November, customer deposits at securities firms had climbed 15.47% year-on-year, reflecting increased retail participation. Between October 31 and November 6, high-net-worth clients also concentrated their net buys on Samsung Electronics (74.32 billion won) and SK Hynix (40.91 billion won), driven by confidence in a sustained AI semiconductor supercycle.

**Semiconductors, power, shipbuilding and defense have gained market share, underpinned by heightened corporate activity and elevated capital expenditures.**
Historical data indicate that companies combining sales growth with CAPEX increases tend to outperform the broader market, as their improved cash flows support stronger returns. The KOSPI’s 12-month forward price-earnings ratio has eased from 12.8x to 10.8x, alleviating some valuation concerns.

**Analysts have identified ten firms with notable CAPEX growth alongside forecasted sales increases.**
In the semiconductor materials and equipment segment, these include Isu Petasys, which ranks second in CAPEX growth thanks to expansion in the ASIC chip market linked to Google and OpenAI, as well as Wonik IPS, Soulbrain, Daeduck Electronics and ISC. Shipbuilding-related names are HD Hyundai Marine Solutions, HD Hyundai Marine Engine and Seongkwang Bend, with HD Hyundai Marine Solutions poised to deliver the steepest sales increase next year through its low fixed-cost ship maintenance and repair model. RFHIC, a telecom equipment and defense supplier, leads the group with a projected 352.29% jump in CAPEX this year and strong sales forecasts driven by overseas defense contracts. The cosmetics firm iFamilySC rounds out the list.

**Despite the recent correction, analysts maintain that the KOSPI remains in a long-term bull phase.**
They cite potential catalysts such as the resolution of the US government shutdown, the release of the US October Consumer Price Index, Nvidia’s upcoming earnings report and China’s Singles’ Day shopping event, which may boost consumer goods stocks. Domestic legislative developments, including budget reviews and proposed amendments to the Commercial Act and dividend income taxation, could also shape corporate payout policies and investor sentiment.
Special Prosecutor Probes Seoul Mayor and Broker in Election Finance Case
Nov. 10, 2025 | Governance & Law

High-profile South Korean political figures have appeared before the Special Prosecutor’s Office in an inquiry into alleged campaign finance violations.

**On November 8, Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon and political broker Myung Tae-kyun underwent a joint 12-hour interrogation by the Special Prosecutor’s Office, centering on claims that Oh paid for opinion polls on behalf of a third party.**
Oh requested a six-hour face-to-face confrontation with Myung. Prosecutors suspect Oh of breaching the Political Funds Act by hiding the true source of the polling payments, while Myung, who initially hesitated to attend, ultimately joined as a witness.

**Investigators assert that during the April 2021 Seoul mayoral by-election, Oh obtained 13 unpublished opinion polls from the Future Korea Research Institute, an organization reportedly owned by Myung.**
They allege that Oh arranged for a supporter to reimburse approximately 33 million won to an institute staff member to conceal the payment’s origin and present it as legitimate campaign expenditure.

**Oh has denied making payments for anyone else and insists his testimony stayed consistent throughout questioning.**
He acknowledged difficulty recalling certain details, attributing those gaps to the five years that have passed since the events in question, and noted that the direct confrontation with Myung nonetheless proceeded smoothly.

**Myung told investigators that their inquiry thoroughly covered the December 2020 to March 2021 period, with special emphasis on the People Power Party’s internal primary process.**
He confirmed that he maintained the same account during questioning and fully cooperated as a witness regarding how the opinion polls were sourced and handled.

Monitored Intelligence for South Korea - Nov. 10, 2025


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통신3사 무선서비스 매출 변동폭 확 커졌다

The Sales Volatility of Wireless Services for the Three Major Telecom Companies Has Increased Significantly

ZD Net Korea | Local Language | News | Nov. 10, 2025 | UndeterminedOperating Results

Sales volatility in the wireless services sector for South Korea’s three major telecom companies—SK Telecom, KT, and LG Uplus—has significantly increased, driven primarily by subscriber movement following SK Telecom’s data breach in the first half of 2025. This volatility was accentuated by compensation and the waiver of termination fees, marking a standout feature in the telecom industry’s third-quarter financial results, which were otherwise impacted by one-off costs related to the hacking incident, voluntary retirement programs, and real estate gains.

SK Telecom experienced a sharp decline in third-quarter wireless service revenue, dropping 20.5% year-on-year to 2.124 trillion won and 19.0% quarter-on-quarter, largely due to its 50% fee reduction implemented in August. Conversely, KT and LG Uplus saw revenue increases, with KT growing 4.7% year-on-year to 1.7336 trillion won and LG Uplus rising 5.2% to 1.6272 trillion won. Both companies also posted quarterly wireless revenue growth rates typically seen on an annual basis, increasing by 1.7% and 2.6%, respectively.

This shift is attributed to competitors aggressively recruiting SK Telecom subscribers following the government’s administrative ban on SK Telecom’s new wireless subscriber recruitment since May and the termination fee waiver starting in July. The migration disrupted the usual revenue gains driven by LTE users upgrading to 5G, triggering larger-scale subscriber movements in an otherwise saturated market.

Looking ahead, similar market fluctuations may recur as data breaches affect all three telecoms. The government’s interim investigation into KT’s cybersecurity failures and potential further termination fee waivers could intensify subscriber churn. Industry sources indicate that without aggressive marketing restrictions and with the recent abolition of the DanTong law, subscriber volatility could surpass previous levels if such regulatory measures are implemented.

[반차장보고서] SK하이닉스 'AI 메모리' 전면전 선언…HBM4 시장, SK⋅삼성 '양강' 구도

Assistant Vice President Report SK Hynix Declares All-Out War on AI Memory… HBM4 Market, SK and Samsung as Dual Giants

Digital Daily | Local Language | News | Nov. 10, 2025 | UndeterminedTech Development/Adoption

SK Hynix CEO Gwak No-jeong announced a strategic vision centered on AI-optimized memory at the SK AI Summit 2025, emphasizing a two-track approach comprising AI-DRAM and AI-NAND. The AI-DRAM line focuses on optimizing data center efficiency, breaking memory limitations, and expanding into industrial applications, while AI-NAND targets performance, bandwidth, and density to address storage bottlenecks, with ultra-high-speed AI-NAND samples expected by the end of 2026.

In the high-bandwidth memory (HBM4) market, SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics are solidifying a dual-giant structure. SK Hynix has finalized an HBM4 supply contract with NVIDIA and is preparing for full-scale shipments in Q4 2025. Samsung is close to concluding its HBM4 supply deal with NVIDIA, having improved yields using its latest DRAM process, and both companies are key partners for NVIDIA’s next-generation GPUs, including the Rubin GPU slated for release in late 2026.

Micron is falling behind in the HBM4 race due to challenges in technology validation and yield, delaying mass shipments potentially until 2027. This delay is pushing the HBM4 market toward a duopoly dominated by SK Hynix and Samsung. Industry insiders highlight that, amid rising AI semiconductor demand, stable supply capacity is becoming more crucial than performance. NVIDIA has affirmed its long-term collaboration with the two Korean memory companies, underscoring their growing influence in next-generation AI semiconductor ecosystems.

텔레픽스 "태국 산림 60일만에 여의도 면적 14배 사라져"

Telepix Thailand loses forest area 14 times the size of Yeouido in just 60 days

ZD Net Korea | Local Language | News | Nov. 10, 2025 | Man-made Environmental Disasters

TelePIX, a space AI-integrated solutions company, revealed that 4,089 hectares of agricultural land near Singburi province in Thailand were damaged or lost within 60 days, an area equivalent to about 14 times the size of Yeouido. This finding was made using images from TelePIX's BlueBON satellite and the U.S. PlanetScope satellite, combined with AI analysis. The damage was concentrated near roads and likely linked to illegal logging or slash-and-burn cultivation practices.

TelePIX employed its proprietary optical satellite atmospheric correction technology to accurately analyze forest damage despite challenging tropical conditions such as rain clouds and smoke. This technology enhances the clarity and detection accuracy of optical satellite images by mathematically removing atmospheric interference, addressing a major limitation of optical satellites which typically cannot see through clouds or fog.

The company claims its atmospheric correction model positions it as the world’s second-best commercially viable technology in this field, following Airbus. TelePIX plans to begin full-scale commercialization of this advanced satellite imaging technology.

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